ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

Regional climate simulations at the convection-permitting scale (< 4 km) have the potential to improve seasonal forecasts, especially where complex topography hinders global models. Due to high computational costs, tests using state-of-the-art ensemble forecasts have not been performed yet. In this one-year case study, a Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) multi-physics ensemble was used to downscale the SEAS5 ensemble forecast over the Horn of Africa. Reliability of precipitation prediction is improved, although the global model’s biases in temperature and precipitation are not reduced. Measurable added value against the global model is provided for intense precipitation statistics over the Ethiopian highlands.

Thanks to the availability of HLRS’s petascale HPC system Hornet, researchers of the Institute of Physics and Meteorology of the University of Hohenheim were able to run a highly complex climate simulation for a time period long enough to cover various extreme weather events on the Northern hemisphere at a previously unmatched spatial resolution. Deploying the highly scalable Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model on 84,000 compute cores of Hornet, the achieved results confirm an extraordinary quality with respect to the simulation of fine scale meteorological processes and extreme events.

Scientists from the University of Hohenheim (Stuttgart/Germany) aim to investigate and to improve the performance of regional climate simulations in Europe with the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model. The model is operated from 12 km down to the convection permitting scale of 3 km, for advancing process understanding.